Northern Colorado
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
406  Rikki Gonzales SO 20:48
887  McKayla Grey SO 21:26
1,379  Ashley Atkin JR 21:57
1,748  Stephanie Clark JR 22:19
2,088  Caroline Braun SO 22:41
2,638  Molly Morrison FR 23:17
National Rank #156 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #14 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rikki Gonzales McKayla Grey Ashley Atkin Stephanie Clark Caroline Braun Molly Morrison
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/28 1147 20:33 21:46 21:38 22:11 21:39 23:21
Pre-National Invitational (White) 10/19 1227 20:59 21:33 21:58 22:41 23:00 23:25
Big Sky Championships 11/01 1146 20:33 21:19 21:53 22:11 22:09 22:52
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 1225 20:58 21:21 22:12 22:14 23:12 23:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.2 436 0.0 0.4 1.9 9.0 18.6 26.7 24.1 14.5 4.7



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rikki Gonzales 0.7% 179.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rikki Gonzales 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.1
McKayla Grey 68.5
Ashley Atkin 100.0
Stephanie Clark 113.4
Caroline Braun 122.2
Molly Morrison 130.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 0.4% 0.4 12
13 1.9% 1.9 13
14 9.0% 9.0 14
15 18.6% 18.6 15
16 26.7% 26.7 16
17 24.1% 24.1 17
18 14.5% 14.5 18
19 4.7% 4.7 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0